Unearthing the Dutton Past: Why Taylor Sheridan’s New Prequel Holds the Key to Yellowstone’s Oldest Mystery

Since its explosive premiere, Taylor Sheridan’s Yellowstone has captivated audiences with the gripping saga of the Dutton family and their relentless fight to preserve their sprawling Montana ranch. Yet, amidst the land disputes, political maneuvering, and inter-family strife, one subtle, yet persistent, mystery has remained stubbornly unsolved: the identities of Chance and Ned Dutton. Introduced in the very first episode of Yellowstone, these enigmatic figures are glimpsed only through their weathered gravestones, fleetingly appearing as John Dutton Sr. (Kevin Costner) grapples with the grief of his son Lee’s funeral. This brief, poignant moment, where John’s eyes momentarily close to reveal the aged markers of two unknown family members, has haunted fans for years, leaving a lingering question that even the highly anticipated series finale of Yellowstone season five failed to address.

The Dutto family tree, a complex tapestry woven through generations of struggle and sacrifice, is central to the entire Yellowstone universe. With the conclusion of the flagship series and the expansion of the lore through prequels like 1883 and 1923, fans eagerly anticipated that these historical explorations would shed light on the deeper roots of the family and, by extension, solve the mystery of Chance and Ned. While 1883 meticulously chronicled James and Margaret Dutton’s arduous journey to settle the Yellowstone land, and 1923 delved into the challenges faced by Jacob and Cara Dutton during the early 20th century, neither series explicitly named or explained the fate of these two mysterious ancestors. This omission left a palpable void, particularly given that 1923, in its exploration of the Dutton family’s past and its direct connection to Jacob and Cara, seemed perfectly poised to unveil the missing pieces of the puzzle. The series finale of 1923 ultimately concluded without the much-desired revelation, shifting the burden of explanation to the next chapter in the Yellowstone saga.

The stage is now set for Taylor Sheridan’s upcoming prequel, tentatively titled 1944, to finally unravel this enduring mystery. This new installment promises to pick up approximately twenty years after the conclusion of 1923 season two, placing it firmly in the mid-20th century. While eighty years might separate the potential birth of Chance and Ned from the events of 1944, this era still provides the most fertile ground for connecting these long-dead figures to the living narrative of the Dutton lineage. The time jump allows for the natural progression of generations and the emergence of new family members who might hold the knowledge, or even direct lineage, to the mysterious duo.


One of the most persistent fan theories posits that Chance and Ned were the children of Jacob Dutton (Harrison Ford) and Cara Dutton (Helen Mirren), who, tragically, did not survive to adulthood. This theory holds significant emotional weight, as it would deepen the understanding of the hardships faced by the Dutton patriarch and matriarch during a tumultuous period in American history. The idea of Jacob and Cara losing their own children, yet still persevering to establish the ranch, would add another layer of sacrifice and resilience to their already formidable story. If this theory holds true, 1944 would not only need to reveal their identities but also meticulously explain why 1923, which centered so heavily on Cara and Jacob, chose to remain silent on such a profound and personal tragedy. Perhaps their story was too painful for the aging couple to recount in 1923, or perhaps the narrative focus was on the immediate threats to the ranch, leaving deeper historical details to future installments. 1944 could bridge this gap by showing how the memory of Chance and Ned continued to influence the family, perhaps through a discovery of old letters, journals, or oral traditions passed down through the generations.

However, the possibilities extend beyond Cara and Jacob’s direct offspring. Chance and Ned could also represent other early, perhaps lesser-known, branches of the Dutton family, or even the children of settlers who married into the Dutton line during the ranch’s formative years. Their deaths could signify a host of historical hardships common to the era: disease, accidents, or even violent conflicts over land, which were pervasive themes in the American West. The precise reason John Dutton would specifically recall them during Lee’s funeral in the flagship series is key. It suggests their deaths were significant, perhaps mirroring Lee’s own sacrifice for the ranch, or representing a foundational loss that shaped the family’s enduring resolve. If they died defending the land, for instance, their story would echo the very essence of the Dutton legacy, binding their spectral presence even more tightly to the destiny of the ranch.

What we do know for certain about 1944 is that Spencer Dutton (Brandon Sklenar), the adventurous son of James Dutton and nephew of Jacob, will likely take center stage. The finale of 1923 season two hinted at Spencer’s enduring legacy, revealing that he lived for another 45 years after the events of the series and was instrumental in saving the Yellowstone Ranch from predatory developers. It is highly probable that Spencer, having survived his tumultuous adventures abroad and returned to embrace his role as a protector of the Dutton heritage, will be the central figure leading the saga in 1944. We also know that Spencer has two sons. While these sons are confirmed not to be Chance and Ned, their presence could be pivotal. It might be through Spencer’s efforts, perhaps as he recounts family history to his own children, or as he uncovers old documents while managing the ranch, that the truth about Chance and Ned finally comes to light. He could be the one to narrate their story, offering context to John Dutton’s fleeting vision in the future.


The enduring mystery of Chance and Ned Dutton underscores a fundamental aspect of Taylor Sheridan’s storytelling: the profound significance of legacy and the sacrifices made across generations to forge and maintain the Dutton empire. It highlights that the land is not merely property but a repository of memory, blood, and enduring hardship. Solving this puzzle in 1944 would not just provide fan service; it would add deeper texture to the very foundation of the Dutton family’s commitment to their land, revealing yet another layer of the ancestral bond that compels John Dutton and his descendants to fight so fiercely for their Yellowstone. As the Yellowstone universe continues to expand, the anticipation for 1944 intensifies, not just for the next chapter in the Dutton saga, but for the long-awaited revelation that promises to finally connect the oldest, most enigmatic threads of their deeply rooted history.

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